Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
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Drogheda United — Galway United, Premier Division
Republic of Ireland, Premier Division
Drogheda United
1.5LWWLL
Galway United
1.6DLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Drogheda United42%Draw28%Galway United30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Drogheda United2.36—
XDraw3.57—
2Galway United3.37—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDrogheda UnitedGalway UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners11.79.310.5
Cards0.31.72.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Drogheda UnitedGalway United
Drogheda United FC 42%, Galway United FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Drogheda United FC 42%Draw 28%Galway United FC 30%
1st half
39 · 36 · 25
2nd half
30 · 42 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Drogheda United
- awayBohemians1:2
- awayShelbourne2:1
- homeSligo Rovers2:0
- homeDundalk2:3
- homeSt Patrick's0:2
Galway United
- homeShelbourne1:1
- awayDerry City0:1
- awaySligo Rovers3:1
- homeBohemians2:3
- homeShelbourne1:1
Head to head
- 08/07/26Premier Division0:0
- 04/06/26Premier Division2:3
- 02/06/26Premier Division1:0
- 10/24/25Premier Division1:1
- 07/04/25Premier Division1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Dundalk3310111250:5541
Dundalk3310111250:55416
Shelbourne329131042:4540
Shelbourne329131042:45407Galway United329111242:4838
Galway United329111242:48388
Waterford327131244:5434
Waterford327131244:54349Drogheda United328101438:5134
Drogheda United328101438:513410
Sligo Rovers32581924:5423
Sligo Rovers32581924:5423Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.