Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.12
All matches
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Djurgarden — Degerfors, Allsvenskan
Sweden, Allsvenskan
Djurgarden
2.8LWWWW
Degerfors
1.3LWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%22%15%
Djurgarden63%Draw22%Degerfors15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Djurgarden1.59—
XDraw4.60—
2Degerfors6.50—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDjurgardenDegerforsCombined
Goals scored0.170.000.17
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners11.07.09.0
Cards1.02.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
DjurgardenDegerfors
Djurgårdens IF 63%, Degerfors 15%. The safest is “Djurgårdens IF or draw” at 85%.
Djurgårdens IF 63%Draw 22%Degerfors 15%
1st half
47 · 37 · 16
2nd half
40 · 38 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Djurgarden
- homeElfsborg1:2
- awayKalmar FF1:0
- awayMjallby2:0
- homeMjallby4:0
- awayMalmo3:0
Degerfors
- homeHammarby0:1
- homeHalmstads2:0
- awayElfsborg0:2
- awayBrommapojkarna0:2
- homeIFK Goteborg3:0
Head to head
- 07/25/26Allsvenskan1:0
- 10/04/25Allsvenskan1:1
- 07/06/25Allsvenskan5:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Sirius21153350:2848
Sirius21153350:28482
Hammarby22134549:2043
Hammarby22134549:20433Djurgarden21122745:2138
Djurgarden21122745:21384
Elfsborg22107531:2237
Elfsborg22107531:22375
Hacken2299439:3036
Hacken2299439:30366
Vasteras22105734:3535
Vasteras22105734:35357
Malmo22103937:3333
Malmo22103937:33338
AIK2195730:3332
AIK2195730:33329
IFK Goteborg2295831:4132
IFK Goteborg2295831:413210
GAIS2186728:1830
GAIS2186728:183011
Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
Brommapojkarna2276930:362712
Mjallby21561026:3721
Mjallby21561026:372113Degerfors21541219:3219
Degerfors21541219:321914
Kalmar FF22541321:3619
Kalmar FF22541321:361915
Örgryte IS22361325:4915
Örgryte IS22361325:4915Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.