Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.68
No40%
ours 2.48
All matches
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Dijon FCO — FC Metz, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
Dijon FCO
WWDLD
FC Metz
0.9DLWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%25%38%
Dijon FCO37%Draw25%FC Metz38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dijon FCO2.70—
XDraw3.92—
2FC Metz2.67—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDijon FCOFC MetzCombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded1.501.002.50
Corners8.810.79.8
Cards1.51.53.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Dijon FCOFC Metz
Dijon FCO 37%, FC Metz 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Dijon FCO 37%Draw 25%FC Metz 38%
1st half
32 · 39 · 29
2nd half
40 · 31 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Dijon FCO
- awayFC Annecy2:1
- homeStade Lavallois Mayenne FC3:2
- awayUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale1:1
- homeAS Saint-Étienne2:3
- awayClermont Foot 631:1
FC Metz
- homeAS Saint-Étienne2:2
- awayRed Star FC 930:1
- homeRodez Aveyron Football4:1
- awayFC Annecy1:1
- homeStade Lavallois Mayenne FC1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Stade de Reims734015:913
Stade de Reims734015:9134
Montpellier HSC73316:512
Montpellier HSC73316:5125FC Metz724110:710
FC Metz724110:7106
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:7107
FC Annecy73139:910
FC Annecy73139:9108
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:5109Dijon FCO723210:109
Dijon FCO723210:10910
Pau FC72236:68
Pau FC72236:6811
En Avant Guingamp722310:128
En Avant Guingamp722310:128Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.