Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.87
No46%
ours 2.15
All matches
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Digenis Ypsonas — AEK Larnaca, First Division
Cyprus, First Division
Digenis Ypsonas
1.5LLLLD
AEK Larnaca
3.1WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%21%61%
Digenis Ypsonas19%Draw21%AEK Larnaca61%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Digenis Ypsonas5.29—
XDraw4.86—
2AEK Larnaca1.65—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDigenis YpsonasAEK LarnacaCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners9.38.79.0
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Digenis YpsonasAEK Larnaca
Digenis Ypsonas 19%, AEK Larnaca 61%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Digenis Ypsonas 19%Draw 21%AEK Larnaca 61%
1st half
24 · 37 · 39
2nd half
26 · 37 · 37
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Digenis Ypsonas
- awayOmonia1:4
- homeAris Limassol0:1
- awayOmonia Aradippou1:2
- homeOmonia 29 Maiou0:3
- homeEnosis Paralimni0:0
AEK Larnaca
- awayOmonia 29 Maiou2:1
- homePaphos0:1
- awayNea Salamis Famagusta4:1
- homeAPOEL3:1
- awayBeitar Jerusalem3:2
Head to head
- 01/18/26First Division1:2
- 09/27/25First Division0:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AEK Larnaca43019:49
AEK Larnaca43019:492
AEL Limassol43016:79
AEL Limassol43016:793
Omonia42208:28
Omonia42208:284
Paphos42114:27
Paphos42114:275
Apollon Limassol41307:56
Apollon Limassol41307:566
Omonia Aradippou41304:36
Omonia Aradippou41304:367
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:75
Omonia 29 Maiou41219:758
Aris Limassol41214:65
Aris Limassol41214:659
APOEL411210:74
APOEL411210:7410
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:74
Olympiakos Nicosia40407:7411
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:94
Nea Salamis Famagusta41128:9412
Karmiotissa40313:63
Karmiotissa40313:6313
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:93
Anorthosis Famagusta41033:9314Digenis Ypsonas40042:100
Digenis Ypsonas40042:100Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.