Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81book 1.76
No45%
ours 2.23book 1.91
All matches
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Deportivo Tachira — Universidad Central de Venezuela, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Deportivo Tachira
3.2WDLWW
Universidad Central de Venezuela
2.5DWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%25%19%
Deportivo TachiraMarket 1.5756%DrawMarket 3.6025%Universidad Central de VenezuelaMarket 5.1319%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo Tachira1.791.57-7.7
XDraw3.953.60-2.5
2Universidad Central de Venezuela5.355.13-0.8
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo TachiraUniversidad Central de VenezuelaCombined
Goals scored2.171.503.67
Conceded1.330.501.83
Corners8.28.58.3
Cards1.73.55.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo TachiraUniversidad Central de Venezuela
Deportivo Táchira FC 56%, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 19%. The safest is “Deportivo Táchira FC or draw” at 79%.
Deportivo Táchira FC 56%Draw 25%Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 19%
1st half
44 · 38 · 17
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26
Bookmakers: 1.57 · 3.60 · 5.13
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
72%1.34
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Deportivo Tachira
- awayDeportivo La Guaira4:2
- homeAcademia Puerto Cabello1:1
- awayEstudiantes de Merida0:2
- homeRayo Zuliano3:1
- awayZamora5:2
Universidad Central de Venezuela
- homeCarabobo1:1
- homeAcademia Anzoategui1:0
- awayDeportivo La Guaira2:0
- homeAcademia Puerto Cabello0:0
- awayEstudiantes de Merida1:1
Head to head
- 04/19/26Primera División1:1
- 07/19/25Primera División2:1
- 06/14/25Primera División0:1
- 02/08/25Primera División1:0
- 10/06/24Primera División2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Metropolitanos30187546:2661
Metropolitanos30187546:26612Deportivo Tachira30177649:3158
Deportivo Tachira30177649:31583
Carabobo311312647:2851
Carabobo311312647:28514
Deportivo La Guaira301311641:2750
Deportivo La Guaira301311641:27505
Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:3246
Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:32466
Portuguesa301111840:3344
Portuguesa301111840:33447Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:3944
Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:39448
Estudiantes de Merida301161335:3839
Estudiantes de Merida301161335:38399
Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527
Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.