All matches

Rayo Zuliano — Caracas, Primera División

Venezuela, Primera División

Rayo Zuliano
1.3DWWLW
—
Caracas
1.8DLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%27%35%
Rayo Zuliano38%Draw27%Caracas35%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rayo Zuliano38%2.62—
XDraw27%3.69—
2Caracas35%2.88—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78

No44%

ours 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRayo ZulianoCaracasCombined
Goals scored2.000.502.50
Conceded1.501.002.50
Corners8.69.49.0
Cards2.62.24.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Rayo ZulianoCaracas

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 38%, Caracas FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 38%Draw 27%Caracas FC 35%
1st half
34 · 39 · 27
2nd half
27 · 41 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Rayo Zuliano

  • homeMonagas1:1
  • awayTrujillanos4:2
  • homePortuguesa2:0
  • awayDeportivo Tachira1:3
  • homeCarabobo4:3

Caracas

  • awayAcademia Anzoategui1:1
  • awayMetropolitanos0:3
  • homeMonagas0:1
  • awayTrujillanos1:0
  • homePortuguesa1:1

Head to head

  • 04/25/26Primera División1:2
  • 07/06/25Primera División1:2
  • 01/26/25Primera División1:1
  • 11/16/24Primera División0:3
  • 10/26/24Primera División1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:3944
8Estudiantes de Merida301161335:3839
9Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527
10Caracas24511824:3126
11Monagas24741326:3525
12Zamora24671124:3525

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.