Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.33
All matches
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Deportivo La Guaira — Trujillanos, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Deportivo La Guaira
2.9LLLWD
Trujillanos
1.3DLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%22%13%
Deportivo La Guaira65%Draw22%Trujillanos13%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo La Guaira1.54—
XDraw4.52—
2Trujillanos7.79—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo La GuairaTrujillanosCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.331.833.16
Corners7.610.49.0
Cards2.62.24.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo La GuairaTrujillanos
Deportivo La Guaira 65%, Trujillanos FC 13%. The safest is “Deportivo La Guaira or draw” at 84%.
Deportivo La Guaira 65%Draw 22%Trujillanos FC 13%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
46 · 35 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Deportivo La Guaira
- homeDeportivo Tachira2:4
- awayCarabobo0:1
- homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela0:2
- homeAcademia Anzoategui2:0
- awayAcademia Puerto Cabello1:1
Trujillanos
- awayEstudiantes de Merida1:1
- homeRayo Zuliano2:4
- awayZamora2:1
- homeCaracas0:1
- awayMetropolitanos1:4
Head to head
- 04/25/26Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Deportivo Tachira30177649:3158
Deportivo Tachira30177649:31583
Carabobo311312647:2851
Carabobo311312647:28514Deportivo La Guaira301311641:2750
Deportivo La Guaira301311641:27505
Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:3246
Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:32466
Portuguesa301111840:3344
Portuguesa301111840:33447
Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:3944
Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:39448
Estudiantes de Merida301161335:3839
Estudiantes de Merida301161335:38399
Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527
Rayo Zuliano24831331:452710
Caracas24511824:3126
Caracas24511824:312611
Monagas24741326:3525
Monagas24741326:352512
Zamora24671124:3525
Zamora24671124:352513Trujillanos24361521:4415
Trujillanos24361521:441514
Academia Anzoategui24351621:4514
Academia Anzoategui24351621:4514Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.