Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.77
No44%
ours 2.29
All matches
Deportivo La Guaira — Metropolitanos, Primera División
Venezuela, Primera División
Deportivo La Guaira
2.4LDLLL
Metropolitanos
2.7DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
45%27%28%
Deportivo La Guaira45%Draw27%Metropolitanos28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo La Guaira2.22—
XDraw3.70—
2Metropolitanos3.59—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo La GuairaMetropolitanos
Deportivo La Guaira 45%, Metropolitanos FC 28%. The safest is “Deportivo La Guaira or draw” at 74%.
Deportivo La Guaira 45%Draw 27%Metropolitanos FC 28%
1st half
37 · 42 · 22
2nd half
45 · 36 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo La GuairaMetropolitanosCombined
Goals scored0.602.803.40
Conceded1.800.602.40
Corners7.810.89.3
Cards3.22.25.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Deportivo La Guaira- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 7.7 per match14 teams in the league
- Winless in 5 matches1:2, 0:0, 2:4, 0:1, 0:2
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Metropolitanos- 3 clean sheets in the last 52:2, 4:0, 3:1, 3:0, 2:0
- Unbeaten in 9 matches2:2, 4:0, 3:1, 3:0, 2:0
- 14 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 4:0, 3:1, 3:0, 2:0
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Deportivo La Guaira
- homeTrujillanos1:2
- awayPortuguesa0:0
- homeDeportivo Tachira2:4
- awayCarabobo0:1
- homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela0:2
Metropolitanos
- awayEstudiantes de Merida2:2
- homeRayo Zuliano4:0
- awayZamora3:1
- homeCaracas3:0
- awayAcademia Anzoategui2:0
Head to head
- 08/05/26Primera División1:2
- 02/08/26Primera División2:2
- 08/10/25Primera División3:1
- 03/01/25Primera División4:1
- 08/27/24Primera División0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Metropolitanos32198552:2865
Metropolitanos32198552:28652
Deportivo Tachira32188655:3462
Deportivo Tachira32188655:34623
Carabobo331413650:3055
Carabobo331413650:30554Deportivo La Guaira321312742:2951
Deportivo La Guaira321312742:29515
Academia Puerto Cabello331311944:3550
Academia Puerto Cabello331311944:35506
Portuguesa321113840:3346
Portuguesa321113840:3346Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.