All matches

Boyaca Chico — Cucuta Deportivo, Categoria Primera A

Colombia, Categoria Primera A

Boyaca Chico
0.7DWLLW
—
Cucuta Deportivo
1.4WWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
42%27%31%
Boyaca ChicoMarket 2.1942%DrawMarket 3.0827%Cucuta DeportivoMarket 3.3531%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Boyaca Chico42%46%2.372.19-3.4
XDraw27%32%3.703.08-5.4
2Cucuta Deportivo31%30%3.263.35+0.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78book 1.87

No44%

ours 2.27book 1.83

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBoyaca ChicoCucuta DeportivoCombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded1.001.672.67
Corners9.27.38.3
Cards2.23.05.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Boyaca ChicoCucuta Deportivo

Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 42%, Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 42%Draw 27%Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 31%
1st half
31 · 40 · 29
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26

Bookmakers: 2.19 · 3.08 · 3.35

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Boyaca Chico

  • awayDeportes Tolima0:0
  • homePasto3:0
  • awayMillonarios0:3
  • homeAlianza Valledupar1:2
  • homeIndependiente Medellin2:1

Cucuta Deportivo

  • homeDeportivo Pereira4:0
  • homeLlaneros2:1
  • awayDeportivo Cali0:3
  • homeMillonarios1:2
  • homePasto2:2

Head to head

  • 03/28/26Categoria Primera A0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Llaneros318121132:3636
15Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
16Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
17Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
18Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
19Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.