Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
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Boyaca Chico — Bucaramanga, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Boyaca Chico
0.7DWLLW
Bucaramanga
2.5WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
30%27%44%
Boyaca Chico30%Draw27%Bucaramanga44%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Boyaca Chico3.38—
XDraw3.76—
2Bucaramanga2.28—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBoyaca ChicoBucaramangaCombined
Goals scored0.501.672.17
Conceded0.500.671.17
Corners8.710.39.5
Cards1.73.04.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Boyaca ChicoBucaramanga
Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 30%, CA Bucaramanga 44%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 30%Draw 27%CA Bucaramanga 44%
1st half
28 · 41 · 31
2nd half
27 · 42 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Boyaca Chico
- awayDeportes Tolima0:0
- homePasto3:0
- awayMillonarios0:3
- homeAlianza Valledupar1:2
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:1
Bucaramanga
- homeJunior3:1
- awayOnce Caldas3:1
- homeLa Equidad2:0
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:2
- awayDeportivo Pereira3:1
Head to head
- 04/12/26Categoria Primera A0:5
- 07/12/25Categoria Primera A1:1
- 01/25/25Categoria Primera A1:0
- 11/06/24Categoria Primera A1:1
- 04/20/24Categoria Primera A3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014
Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:502918
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
Alianza Valledupar316101525:512819
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.