All matches

Delfin — Cuenca, Primera Categoría Serie A

Ecuador, Primera Categoría Serie A

Delfin
0.9DDLWL
—
Cuenca
1.6DDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%27%33%
Delfin40%Draw27%Cuenca33%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Delfin40%2.53—
XDraw27%3.68—
2Cuenca33%3.01—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 1.99

No50%

ours 2.01

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDelfinCuencaCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners12.010.711.3
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

DelfinCuenca

Delfin SC 40%, CD Cuenca 33%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Delfin SC 40%Draw 27%CD Cuenca 33%
1st half
31 · 46 · 24
2nd half
32 · 39 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Delfin

  • awayTecnico Universitario1:1
  • awayBarcelona SC1:1
  • homeUniversidad Catolica del Ecuador0:1
  • homeTecnico Universitario1:0
  • awayMushuc Runa0:1

Cuenca

  • homeMushuc Runa1:1
  • awayLDU Quito1:1
  • homeCA Libertad0:1
  • homeGuayaquil City1:0
  • awayTecnico Universitario1:3

Head to head

  • 05/31/26Primera Categoría Serie A0:1
  • 02/22/26Primera Categoría Serie A1:0
  • 12/06/25Primera Categoría Serie A0:0
  • 11/01/25Primera Categoría Serie A2:0
  • 07/13/25Primera Categoría Serie A1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Mushuc Runa319121036:3939
11Emelec311091226:3639
12Cuenca311071426:3837
13Orense31961637:4933
14Tecnico Universitario311031829:4333
15Delfin31781620:3229
16Manta31661919:4324

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.