Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
—
CSM Politehnica Iasi — Sheriff, Moldovan National Division
Moldova, Moldovan National Division
CSM Politehnica Iasi
1.0LLWDL
Sheriff
2.8WWDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
12%19%69%
CSM Politehnica Iasi12%Draw19%Sheriff69%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSM Politehnica Iasi8.22—
XDraw5.18—
2Sheriff1.46—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCSM Politehnica IasiSheriffCombined
Goals scored0.501.832.33
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners7.512.09.8
Cards0.00.80.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CSM Politehnica IasiSheriff
CSM Politehnica Iaşi 12%, FK Sheriff Tiraspol 69%. The safest is “FK Sheriff Tiraspol or draw” at 85%.
CSM Politehnica Iaşi 12%Draw 19%FK Sheriff Tiraspol 69%
1st half
23 · 36 · 42
2nd half
18 · 37 · 44
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
CSM Politehnica Iasi
- homePetrocub0:1
- awayZimbru1:2
- homeCSCA Buiucani2:1
- homeSireti0:0
- awaySheriff0:4
Sheriff
- homeCSF Balti7:0
- awayMilsami1:0
- homePetrocub2:2
- awayZimbru1:2
- homeCSM Politehnica Iasi4:0
Head to head
- 08/23/26Moldovan National Division0:4
- 07/04/26Moldovan National Division0:0
- 10/04/25Moldovan National Division1:2
- 08/10/25Moldovan National Division0:3
- 06/22/25Moldovan National Division0:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
Sheriff1384132:10282
Zimbru1382327:1226
Zimbru1382327:12263
Petrocub1373324:1324
Petrocub1373324:13244
CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
CSCA Buiucani1362517:16205
Milsami1345413:1717
Milsami1345413:17176CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:19157
Sireti130768:197
Sireti130768:1978
CSF Balti1312109:425
CSF Balti1312109:425Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.