Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
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CSF Balti — Politehnica UTM, National Division
Moldova, National Division
CSF Balti
1.0LLLLL
Politehnica UTM
1.5DLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
21%29%50%
CSF Balti21%Draw29%Politehnica UTM50%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSF Balti4.72—
XDraw3.49—
2Politehnica UTM1.99—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1377 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1376 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1368 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CSF BaltiPolitehnica UTM
CSF Bălți 21%, Politehnica UTM 50%. The safest is “Politehnica UTM or draw” at 83%.
CSF Bălți 21%Draw 29%Politehnica UTM 50%
1st half
15 · 38 · 46
2nd half
20 · 40 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCSF BaltiPolitehnica UTMCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded3.831.335.16
Corners8.37.07.7
Cards0.30.00.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
CSF Balti
- homeSireti0:3
- awaySheriff0:7
- awayCSCA Buiucani0:3
- homeMilsami1:3
- awayPetrocub0:3
Politehnica UTM
- awayMilsami3:3
- homePetrocub0:1
- awayZimbru1:2
- homeCSCA Buiucani2:1
- homeSireti0:0
Head to head
- 08/15/26National Division0:6
- 06/27/26National Division3:0
- 11/22/25National Division1:3
- 09/21/25National Division3:2
- 07/26/25National Division1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
CSCA Buiucani1462619:2120
CSCA Buiucani1462619:21205
Milsami1446416:2018
Milsami1446416:20186Politehnica UTM1444621:2216
Politehnica UTM1444621:22167
Sireti1417611:1910
Sireti1417611:19108CSF Balti1412119:455
CSF Balti1412119:455Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.