All matches

CSF Balti — CSM Politehnica Iasi, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

CSF Balti
1.1LLLLL
—
CSM Politehnica Iasi
1.0LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
28%27%45%
CSF Balti28%Draw27%CSM Politehnica Iasi45%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSF Balti28%3.56—
XDraw27%3.77—
2CSM Politehnica Iasi45%2.20—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78

No44%

ours 2.29

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCSF BaltiCSM Politehnica IasiCombined
Goals scored0.170.500.67
Conceded3.331.334.66
Corners9.67.08.3
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CSF BaltiCSM Politehnica Iasi

CSF Bălți 28%, CSM Politehnica Iaşi 45%. The safest is “CSM Politehnica Iaşi or draw” at 76%.

CSF Bălți 28%Draw 27%CSM Politehnica Iaşi 45%
1st half
25 · 37 · 37
2nd half
25 · 39 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

CSF Balti

  • awaySheriff0:7
  • awayCSCA Buiucani0:3
  • homeMilsami1:3
  • awayPetrocub0:3
  • homeZimbru0:4

CSM Politehnica Iasi

  • homePetrocub0:1
  • awayZimbru1:2
  • homeCSCA Buiucani2:1
  • homeSireti0:0
  • awaySheriff0:4

Head to head

  • 08/15/26Moldovan National Division0:6
  • 06/27/26Moldovan National Division3:0
  • 11/22/25Moldovan National Division1:3
  • 09/21/25Moldovan National Division3:2
  • 07/26/25Moldovan National Division1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
7Sireti130768:197
8CSF Balti1312109:425

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.