All matches

CSD Rangers — CD Unión San Felipe, Primera B

Chile, Primera B

CSD Rangers
LLWWW
—
CD Unión San Felipe
LLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%28%23%
CSD Rangers49%Draw28%CD Unión San Felipe23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSD Rangers49%2.06—
XDraw28%3.53—
2CD Unión San Felipe23%4.34—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.15

No54%

ours 1.87

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CSD RangersCD Unión San Felipe

CSD Rangers 49%, CD Unión San Felipe 23%. The safest is “CSD Rangers or draw” at 80%.

CSD Rangers 49%Draw 28%CD Unión San Felipe 23%
1st half
41 · 45 · 14
2nd half
38 · 39 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCSD RangersCD Unión San FelipeCombined
Goals scored1.170.171.34
Conceded1.001.502.50
Corners9.811.710.8
Cards1.51.83.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

CSD Rangers

  • awayCD Antofagasta0:2
  • homeClub Deportes Iquique1:2
  • awayCD Puerto Montt2:1
  • homeCD Temuco1:0
  • awayUnión Española1:0

CD Unión San Felipe

  • homeClub Deportes Iquique0:2
  • homeCD San Luis de Quillota0:1
  • homeCD Copiapó1:4
  • awayClub Deportivo Magallanes0:0
  • homeDeportes Santa Cruz0:0

Head to head

  • 05/16/26Primera B1:2
  • 09/14/25Primera B2:1
  • 05/17/25Primera B2:0
  • 09/08/24Primera B1:1
  • 04/28/24Primera B2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13CD Provincial Curicó Unido26691122:3927
14Deportes Santa Cruz264101227:4022
15CD Unión San Felipe26571416:4422
16CSD Rangers26461623:4218

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.