Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.77
No44%
ours 2.30
All matches
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Petrocub — Zimbru, Moldovan National Division
Moldova, Moldovan National Division
Petrocub
2.7WWDWL
Zimbru
2.9LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%28%30%
Petrocub42%Draw28%Zimbru30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Petrocub2.37—
XDraw3.56—
2Zimbru3.36—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPetrocubZimbruCombined
Goals scored1.502.333.83
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners9.07.88.4
Cards1.20.51.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PetrocubZimbru
CS Petrocub Hînceşti 42%, FC Zimbru Chişinău 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
CS Petrocub Hînceşti 42%Draw 28%FC Zimbru Chişinău 30%
1st half
35 · 42 · 23
2nd half
31 · 38 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Petrocub
- awayCSM Politehnica Iasi1:0
- homeSireti2:1
- awaySheriff2:2
- homeCSF Balti3:0
- awayMilsami0:1
Zimbru
- homeCSCA Buiucani0:1
- homeCSM Politehnica Iasi2:1
- awaySireti2:0
- homeSheriff2:1
- awayCSF Balti4:0
Head to head
- 08/09/26Moldovan National Division2:1
- 05/17/26Moldovan National Division1:1
- 04/11/26Moldovan National Division3:0
- 10/19/25Moldovan National Division0:0
- 08/16/25Moldovan National Division1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Sheriff1384132:1028
Sheriff1384132:10282Zimbru1382327:1226
Zimbru1382327:12263Petrocub1373324:1324
Petrocub1373324:13244
CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
CSCA Buiucani1362517:16205
Milsami1345413:1717
Milsami1345413:1717Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.