All matches

Petrocub — CSCA Buiucani, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

Petrocub
2.7WWDWL
—
CSCA Buiucani
0.9WWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
71%21%
Petrocub71%Draw21%CSCA Buiucani9%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Petrocub71%1.42—
XDraw21%4.84—
2CSCA Buiucani9%11.43—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.94

No48%

ours 2.07

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPetrocubCSCA BuiucaniCombined
Goals scored1.330.832.16
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners9.09.49.2
Cards1.01.22.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PetrocubCSCA Buiucani

CS Petrocub Hînceşti 71%, CSCA Buiucani 9%. The safest is “CS Petrocub Hînceşti or draw” at 86%.

CS Petrocub Hînceşti 71%Draw 21%CSCA Buiucani 9%
1st half
44 · 41 · 15
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Petrocub

  • awayCSM Politehnica Iasi1:0
  • homeSireti2:1
  • awaySheriff2:2
  • homeCSF Balti3:0
  • awayMilsami0:1

CSCA Buiucani

  • awayZimbru1:0
  • homeCSF Balti3:0
  • awayCSM Politehnica Iasi1:2
  • homeMilsami0:0
  • awaySireti0:0

Head to head

  • 08/15/26Moldovan National Division1:2
  • 06/28/26Moldovan National Division2:1
  • 04/18/26Moldovan National Division2:1
  • 03/08/26Moldovan National Division3:0
  • 11/22/25Moldovan National Division3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
2Zimbru1382327:1226
3Petrocub1373324:1324
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.