Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.94
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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Deportivo Pereira — Boyaca Chico, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Deportivo Pereira
1.2LLDDL
Boyaca Chico
0.7DWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%28%26%
Deportivo Pereira46%Draw28%Boyaca Chico26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo Pereira2.17—
XDraw3.62—
2Boyaca Chico3.81—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo PereiraBoyaca ChicoCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded1.330.832.16
Corners9.09.39.1
Cards4.52.06.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo PereiraBoyaca Chico
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 46%, Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 26%. The safest is “CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira or draw” at 76%.
CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 46%Draw 28%Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA 26%
1st half
40 · 41 · 19
2nd half
32 · 42 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Deportivo Pereira
- awayCucuta Deportivo0:4
- homeIndependiente Santa Fe1:2
- homeLa Equidad0:0
- awayRionegro Aguilas2:2
- homeBucaramanga1:3
Boyaca Chico
- awayDeportes Tolima0:0
- homePasto3:0
- awayMillonarios0:3
- homeAlianza Valledupar1:2
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:1
Head to head
- 04/02/26Categoria Primera A0:1
- 09/22/25Categoria Primera A1:1
- 04/06/25Categoria Primera A1:1
- 08/07/24Categoria Primera A1:0
- 02/05/24Categoria Primera A2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:502918
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
Alianza Valledupar316101525:512819
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:5325
Jaguares de Cordoba30671731:532520Deportivo Pereira302121622:4918
Deportivo Pereira302121622:4918Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.