Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.57
All matches
Crown Legacy — Columbus Crew II, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Crown Legacy
2.3WWDWL
Columbus Crew II
1.9WDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%22%25%
Crown Legacy54%Draw22%Columbus Crew II25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Crown Legacy1.86—
XDraw4.62—
2Columbus Crew II4.05—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Crown LegacyColumbus Crew II
Crown Legacy FC (Charlotte FC II) 54%, Columbus Crew II 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
Crown Legacy FC (Charlotte FC II) 54%Draw 22%Columbus Crew II 25%
1st half
47 · 35 · 18
2nd half
38 · 33 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCrown LegacyColumbus Crew IICombined
Goals scored2.401.203.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Crown Legacy- Best attack in the league — 69 goals in 29 matches2nd place, 56 points
- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches2:1, 2:2, 4:0, 3:1, 0:2
- Most corners in the league in their matches — 10.9 per match30 teams in the league
Columbus Crew II- Winless away in 6 matches2:4, 0:1, 0:1, 1:2, 2:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches2:1, 1:1, 1:1, 2:4, 0:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Crown Legacy
- homeNew York Red Bulls II2:1
- awayCincinnati II2:1
- homeCarolina Core2:2
- homeChicago Fire II4:0
- awayOrlando City II2:3
Columbus Crew II
- homeNew England Revolution II2:1
- homeCarolina Core1:1
- homeNew England Revolution II1:1
- awayToronto FC II2:4
- awayPhiladelphia Union II0:1
Head to head
- 04/06/25MLS Next Pro1:1
- 03/24/24MLS Next Pro3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Austin II29206356:2266
Austin II29206356:22662
Crown Legacy29168569:4056
Crown Legacy29168569:40563
Chattanooga29167659:4055
Chattanooga29167659:40554
Portland Timbers II291510439:2955
Portland Timbers II291510439:29555
Ventura County29157761:3852
Ventura County29157761:38526
Houston Dynamo II29147855:3549
Houston Dynamo II29147855:35497
Atlanta United II291451062:4747
Atlanta United II291451062:47478
New York Red Bulls II301451162:5147
New York Red Bulls II301451162:51479
Connecticut United291521260:5247
Connecticut United291521260:524710
Columbus Crew II29137951:4446
Columbus Crew II29137951:444611
New York City II291351151:4744
New York City II291351151:474412
New England Revolution II29128948:4444
New England Revolution II29128948:4444Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.