All matches

Corum FK — Caykur Rizespor, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Corum FK
1.8LWWLL
—
Caykur Rizespor
1.8DWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%25%26%
Corum FK48%Draw25%Caykur Rizespor26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Corum FK48%2.07—
XDraw25%3.94—
2Caykur Rizespor26%3.78—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.61

No38%

ours 2.64

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCorum FKCaykur RizesporCombined
Goals scored1.831.002.83
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners9.610.29.9
Cards2.41.64.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Corum FKCaykur Rizespor

Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 48%, Çaykur Rizespor 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 48%Draw 25%Çaykur Rizespor 26%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
37 · 35 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Corum FK

  • homeAlanyaspor1:2
  • awaySamsunspor5:1
  • homeEyupspor3:0
  • awayBesiktas2:6
  • homeKasimpasa0:1

Caykur Rizespor

  • awayGoztepe2:2
  • awayEyupspor2:0
  • homeAlanyaspor0:1
  • awayGaziantep2:1
  • homeSamsunspor0:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Trabzonspor631213:510
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.