Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
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Cucuta Deportivo — Atletico Nacional, Categoria Primera A
Colombia, Categoria Primera A
Cucuta Deportivo
1.4WWLLD
Atletico Nacional
3.4WDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
23%23%53%
Cucuta Deportivo23%Draw23%Atletico Nacional53%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cucuta Deportivo4.27—
XDraw4.27—
2Atletico Nacional1.88—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCucuta DeportivoAtletico NacionalCombined
Goals scored1.500.672.17
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners7.210.08.6
Cards3.23.36.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Cucuta DeportivoAtletico Nacional
Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 23%, Club Atlético Nacional SA 53%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
Corporación Nuevo Cúcuta Deportivo 23%Draw 23%Club Atlético Nacional SA 53%
1st half
29 · 38 · 33
2nd half
20 · 35 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 6.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Cucuta Deportivo
- homeDeportivo Pereira4:0
- homeLlaneros2:1
- awayDeportivo Cali0:3
- homeMillonarios1:2
- homePasto2:2
Atletico Nacional
- homeJunior3:1
- homeMillonarios1:1
- awayLlaneros0:2
- awayLa Equidad3:2
- homeRionegro Aguilas2:0
Head to head
- 04/02/26Categoria Primera A0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Atletico Nacional35252870:3177
Atletico Nacional35252870:31772
America de Cali33187850:2761
America de Cali33187850:27613
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:36574
Deportes Tolima351511946:3456
Deportes Tolima351511946:34565
Junior361581354:4853
Junior361581354:48536
Deportivo Cali31149840:2551
Deportivo Cali31149840:25517
Millonarios321211949:3447
Millonarios321211949:34478
Once Caldas331114848:4147
Once Caldas331114848:41479
Bucaramanga301113646:3046
Bucaramanga301113646:304610
Independiente Medellin311371145:4046
Independiente Medellin311371145:404611
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
La Equidad349141142:5341
La Equidad349141142:534113
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:4040
Rionegro Aguilas3010101034:404014
Llaneros318121132:3636
Llaneros318121132:363615
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:4532
Fortaleza CEIF316141135:453216Cucuta Deportivo317101437:5431
Cucuta Deportivo317101437:543117
Boyaca Chico30851725:5029
Boyaca Chico30851725:502918
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128
Alianza Valledupar316101525:5128Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.