Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.46
All matches
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Columbus Crew II — New England Revolution II, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew II
1.7DDLLW
New England Revolution II
1.9WDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%24%35%
Columbus Crew II41%Draw24%New England Revolution II35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Columbus Crew II2.42—
XDraw4.16—
2New England Revolution II2.88—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColumbus Crew IINew England Revolution IICombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded1.332.333.66
Corners10.38.89.6
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Columbus Crew IINew England Revolution II
Columbus Crew II 41%, New England Revolution II 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Columbus Crew II 41%Draw 24%New England Revolution II 35%
1st half
30 · 38 · 32
2nd half
34 · 38 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Columbus Crew II
- homeCarolina Core1:1
- homeNew England Revolution II1:1
- awayToronto FC II2:4
- awayPhiladelphia Union II0:1
- homeChicago Fire II4:0
New England Revolution II
- awayToronto FC II3:1
- awayColumbus Crew II1:1
- awayCarolina Core2:2
- homeHuntsville City1:4
- awayNew York City II1:2
Head to head
- 09/13/26MLS Next Pro1:1
- 07/15/26MLS Next Pro2:2
- 04/18/26MLS Next Pro2:1
- 08/11/25MLS Next Pro2:2
- 07/05/25MLS Next Pro1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Connecticut United281421259:5244
Connecticut United281421259:524410
New York City II281351050:4444
New York City II281351050:444411New England Revolution II28128847:4244
New England Revolution II28128847:424412Columbus Crew II28127949:4343
Columbus Crew II28127949:434313
Minnesota United II281261043:3942
Minnesota United II281261043:394214
LAFC 228119850:4842
LAFC 228119850:4842Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.