Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82book 1.78
No45%
ours 2.21book 1.91
All matches
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Coleraine — Cliftonville, NIFL Premiership
Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership
Coleraine
3.1WLWWW
Cliftonville
1.9LLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
67%19%14%
ColeraineMarket 1.3367%DrawMarket 4.6519%CliftonvilleMarket 7.1814%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Coleraine1.491.33-7.8
XDraw5.354.65-2.8
2Cliftonville7.167.18+0.0
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColeraineCliftonvilleCombined
Goals scored2.331.173.50
Conceded1.501.332.83
Corners8.011.29.6
Cards1.00.71.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ColeraineCliftonville
Coleraine FC 67%, Cliftonville FC 14%. The safest is “Coleraine FC or draw” at 82%.
Coleraine FC 67%Draw 19%Cliftonville FC 14%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
44 · 36 · 20
Bookmakers: 1.33 · 4.65 · 7.18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Home
67%1.33
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Coleraine
- awayBangor3:2
- homeLinfield1:3
- homeLimavady United1:0
- awayGlentoran2:1
- homeBallymena United3:2
Cliftonville
- homeBallymena United0:1
- awayLimavady United0:1
- homeGlentoran1:2
- awayLarne0:2
- awayCarrick Rangers3:1
Head to head
- 04/11/26NIFL Premiership6:2
- 03/14/26NIFL Premiership1:0
- 11/22/25NIFL Premiership0:1
- 08/16/25NIFL Premiership0:0
- 05/11/25NIFL Premiership0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Coleraine1081122:1025
Coleraine1081122:10252
Linfield971112:622
Linfield971112:6223
Larne651012:316
Larne651012:3164
Glentoran1051415:1016
Glentoran1051415:10165
Crusaders1050515:1815
Crusaders1050515:18156
Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
Carrick Rangers1041515:15137
Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
Dungannon Swifts94149:10138
Ballymena United933313:1112
Ballymena United933313:11129Cliftonville1040612:1212
Cliftonville1040612:121210
Limavady United93159:1310
Limavady United93159:131011
Bangor1012710:225
Bangor1012710:225Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.