Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
—
Coca-Cola — Al Ahly, Premier League
Egypt, Premier League
Coca-Cola
WWLWD
Al Ahly
WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
20%71%
Coca-Cola8%Draw20%Al Ahly71%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Coca-Cola12.21—
XDraw4.90—
2Al Ahly1.40—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Coca-ColaAl Ahly
Coca-Cola FC 8%, Al Ahly SC 71%. The safest is “Al Ahly SC or draw” at 89%.
Coca-Cola FC 8%Draw 20%Al Ahly SC 71%
1st half
21 · 40 · 39
2nd half
14 · 32 · 54
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCoca-ColaAl AhlyCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners9.09.89.4
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Coca-Cola
- awayPetrol Asyut2:0
- homeWadi Degla2:1
- awayCeramica Cleopatra0:2
- homeGhazl El Mahalla2:0
- awayEl Gouna1:1
Al Ahly
- homeAbu Qir Semad2:0
- awayAl Mokawloon1:1
- homeSmouha1:0
- awayMasr2:0
- homeENPPI3:2
Head to head
- 08/09/25Premier League2:2
- 02/02/25Premier League1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Pyramids55009:115
Pyramids55009:1152
Zamalek54108:113
Zamalek54108:1133Al Ahly54109:313
Al Ahly54109:3134
Ceramica Cleopatra540110:312
Ceramica Cleopatra540110:3125Coca-Cola53117:410
Coca-Cola53117:4106
Al Ittihad Alexandria53116:310
Al Ittihad Alexandria53116:3107
Al Mokawloon52126:57
Al Mokawloon52126:57Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.