Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
—
Universitario de Deportes — Juan Pablo II, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Universitario de Deportes
3.6LWDWW
Juan Pablo II
1.5WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
70%20%10%
Universitario de Deportes70%Draw20%Juan Pablo II10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Universitario de Deportes1.43—
XDraw5.05—
2Juan Pablo II9.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUniversitario de DeportesJuan Pablo IICombined
Goals scored1.331.833.16
Conceded1.500.832.33
Corners10.06.58.3
Cards2.81.84.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Universitario de DeportesJuan Pablo II
Club Universitario de Deportes 70%, Juan Pablo II College 10%. The safest is “Club Universitario de Deportes or draw” at 86%.
Club Universitario de Deportes 70%Draw 20%Juan Pablo II College 10%
1st half
45 · 37 · 18
2nd half
46 · 36 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Universitario de Deportes
- awayGarcilaso0:4
- awayAlianza Lima2:1
- homeComerciantes Unidos2:2
- awayUT Cajamarca4:2
- homeLos Chankas3:0
Juan Pablo II
- homeUCV Moquegua4:0
- awayUT Cajamarca2:1
- homeAlianza Lima1:1
- awayLos Chankas4:3
- homeDeportivo Tarma5:1
Head to head
- 05/03/26Primera División4:1
- 10/05/25Primera División3:0
- 05/18/25Primera División0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Alianza Lima27168344:1856
Alianza Lima27168344:18562Universitario de Deportes27147643:3149
Universitario de Deportes27147643:31493
Garcilaso27146739:2448
Garcilaso27146739:24484
Melgar27137745:2946
Melgar27137745:29465
Real Garcilaso271431040:3845
Real Garcilaso271431040:38456
Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811
Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:523413
Atletico Grau27951326:3132
Atletico Grau27951326:313214
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.