All matches

The Strongest — Always Ready, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

The Strongest
3.4WWWWW
—
Always Ready
3.4WWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%25%31%
The Strongest44%Draw25%Always Ready31%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1The Strongest44%2.29—
XDraw25%4.00—
2Always Ready31%3.19—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.61

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricThe StrongestAlways ReadyCombined
Goals scored2.832.505.33
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners9.27.08.1
Cards1.62.44.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

The StrongestAlways Ready

Club The Strongest 44%, Club Always Ready 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Club The Strongest 44%Draw 25%Club Always Ready 31%
1st half
34 · 36 · 30
2nd half
35 · 37 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

The Strongest

  • awayAcademia del Balompie2:1
  • homeReal Oruro5:0
  • homeReal Tomayapo3:1
  • awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo3:0
  • homeUniversitario de Vinto4:3

Always Ready

  • awayNacional Potosi4:0
  • homeGuabira6:0
  • awayOriente Petrolero2:1
  • homeAurora2:2
  • awayReal Tomayapo1:1

Head to head

  • 05/14/26LFPB1:0
  • 12/07/25LFPB2:3
  • 07/06/25LFPB2:7
  • 11/27/24LFPB1:0
  • 08/02/24LFPB0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Always Ready20136147:1345
2Bolivar20143354:2245
3The Strongest20126239:2242
4Real Potosi2088427:1432
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.