Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.71
No42%
ours 2.41
All matches
—
Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad, Division Profesional
Paraguay, Division Profesional
Sportivo Trinidense
2.2WWLWL
Libertad
2.6WLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%27%35%
Sportivo Trinidense38%Draw27%Libertad35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sportivo Trinidense2.61—
XDraw3.71—
2Libertad2.88—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSportivo TrinidenseLibertadCombined
Goals scored1.501.503.00
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners10.610.410.5
Cards1.81.83.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sportivo TrinidenseLibertad
Club Sportivo Trinidense 38%, Club Libertad 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Club Sportivo Trinidense 38%Draw 27%Club Libertad 35%
1st half
33 · 40 · 27
2nd half
29 · 36 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sportivo Trinidense
- homeSportivo Luqueno3:2
- homeCerro Porteno2:1
- homeGuarani0:1
- awayRecoleta3:1
- homeClub Olimpia1:2
Libertad
- awayRecoleta2:1
- homeClub Olimpia0:1
- homeSportivo Ameliano1:1
- away2 de Mayo2:0
- homeRubio Nu4:2
Head to head
- 08/10/26Division Profesional1:2
- 04/12/26Division Profesional1:1
- 02/15/26Division Profesional1:0
- 10/05/25Division Profesional0:0
- 07/26/25Division Profesional0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Club Olimpia33225655:2671
Club Olimpia33225655:26712
Nacional341613550:2961
Nacional341613550:29613Libertad351761255:4057
Libertad351761255:40574Sportivo Trinidense3515101053:3755
Sportivo Trinidense3515101053:37555
Cerro Porteno341671145:3355
Cerro Porteno341671145:33556
Sportivo Ameliano341215741:3451
Sportivo Ameliano341215741:3451Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.