Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.27
All matches
—
Sportivo Luqueno — Sportivo San Lorenzo, Division Profesional
Paraguay, Division Profesional
Sportivo Luqueno
1.3LLWLL
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0.9DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%27%23%
Sportivo Luqueno50%Draw27%Sportivo San Lorenzo23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sportivo Luqueno1.99—
XDraw3.75—
2Sportivo San Lorenzo4.33—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSportivo LuquenoSportivo San LorenzoCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.501.172.67
Corners10.210.610.4
Cards1.42.64.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo San Lorenzo
Club Sportivo Luqueño 50%, Club Sportivo San Lorenzo 23%. The safest is “Club Sportivo Luqueño or draw” at 79%.
Club Sportivo Luqueño 50%Draw 27%Club Sportivo San Lorenzo 23%
1st half
38 · 40 · 22
2nd half
40 · 37 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sportivo Luqueno
- awaySportivo Trinidense2:3
- homeGuarani0:1
- homeRecoleta1:0
- awayClub Olimpia0:3
- homeSportivo Ameliano1:2
Sportivo San Lorenzo
- awayGuarani1:1
- homeRecoleta0:0
- homeClub Olimpia0:3
- awaySportivo Ameliano0:1
- home2 de Mayo1:2
Head to head
- 08/09/26Division Profesional2:0
- 05/17/26Division Profesional0:0
- 03/13/26Division Profesional1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
2 de Mayo3512111234:4847
2 de Mayo3512111234:48479
Recoleta351061949:5836
Recoleta351061949:583610Sportivo Luqueno35962038:5733
Sportivo Luqueno35962038:573311
Rubio Nu34881828:4932
Rubio Nu34881828:493212Sportivo San Lorenzo35392318:6318
Sportivo San Lorenzo35392318:6318Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.