All matches

Real Potosi — The Strongest, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Real Potosi
2.1WWDLD
—
The Strongest
3.4WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%26%34%
Real PotosiMarket 2.3940%DrawMarket 3.4226%The StrongestMarket 2.4534%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Potosi40%42%2.482.39-1.5
XDraw26%29%3.863.42-3.3
2The Strongest34%41%2.962.45-7.1

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76book 1.53

No43%

ours 2.32book 2.32

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal PotosiThe StrongestCombined
Goals scored1.003.004.00
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners10.09.29.6
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real PotosiThe Strongest

Club Real Potosí 40%, Club The Strongest 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Club Real Potosí 40%Draw 26%Club The Strongest 34%
1st half
40 · 38 · 22
2nd half
29 · 40 · 31

Bookmakers: 2.39 · 3.42 · 2.45

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%1.16
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Real Potosi

  • awayReal Oruro2:0
  • homeOriente Petrolero2:1
  • awayGuabira1:1
  • homeReal Tomayapo0:1
  • awayAurora0:0

The Strongest

  • awayAcademia del Balompie2:1
  • homeReal Oruro5:0
  • homeReal Tomayapo3:1
  • awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo3:0
  • homeUniversitario de Vinto4:3

Head to head

  • 05/10/26LFPB0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Always Ready20136147:1345
2Bolivar20143354:2245
3The Strongest20126239:2242
4Real Potosi2088427:1432
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730
6Aurora2079431:2730

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.