Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.46
All matches
—
Inter Miami — New York City, MLS
USA, MLS
Inter Miami
3.3LDDDD
New York City
2.1DLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
56%23%21%
Inter Miami56%Draw23%New York City21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Inter Miami1.79—
XDraw4.26—
2New York City4.82—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricInter MiamiNew York CityCombined
Goals scored1.330.832.16
Conceded1.500.832.33
Corners8.210.69.4
Cards4.01.45.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Inter MiamiNew York City
Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami 56%, New York City FC 21%. The safest is “Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami or draw” at 79%.
Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami 56%Draw 23%New York City FC 21%
1st half
43 · 34 · 23
2nd half
40 · 38 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Inter Miami
- awayColumbus Crew1:2
- homeSan Diego2:2
- homeNashville SC2:2
- awayChicago Fire1:1
- homeAtlanta United2:2
New York City
- awayAtlanta United2:2
- homeNew York Red Bulls0:1
- awayReal Salt Lake2:0
- homeNew England Revolution1:2
- homeNashville SC0:0
Head to head
- 03/22/26MLS3:2
- 11/29/25MLS5:1
- 09/24/25MLS4:0
- 02/23/25MLS2:2
- 09/21/24MLS1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
St. Louis City27138648:3647
St. Louis City27138648:36474
Dallas27138650:4247
Dallas27138650:42475Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466
New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913
Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814
Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:443616
Orlando City271041348:6434
Orlando City271041348:643417New York City27891041:3633
New York City27891041:363318
Cincinnati2689955:6433
Cincinnati2689955:643319
New York Red Bulls27961234:5133
New York Red Bulls27961234:5133Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.