Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.94
No49%
ours 2.06
All matches
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Guarani — 2 de Mayo, Division Profesional
Paraguay, Division Profesional
Guarani
2.6DWWDW
2 de Mayo
1.9WDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%28%24%
Guarani48%Draw28%2 de Mayo24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Guarani2.10—
XDraw3.58—
22 de Mayo4.10—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGuarani2 de MayoCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.170.831.00
Corners10.712.011.3
Cards1.72.74.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Guarani2 de Mayo
Club Guaraní 48%, Club 2 de Mayo 24%. The safest is “Club Guaraní or draw” at 76%.
Club Guaraní 48%Draw 28%Club 2 de Mayo 24%
1st half
34 · 44 · 21
2nd half
36 · 38 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Guarani
- homeSportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- awaySportivo Luqueno1:0
- awaySportivo Trinidense1:0
- homeCerro Porteno1:1
- homeRecoleta2:0
2 de Mayo
- awayCerro Porteno2:0
- awayRubio Nu2:2
- awayNacional0:3
- homeLibertad0:2
- awaySportivo San Lorenzo2:1
Head to head
- 08/25/26Division Profesional0:0
- 04/26/26Division Profesional2:2
- 03/25/26Division Profesional1:1
- 09/12/25Division Profesional0:1
- 07/06/25Division Profesional3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Cerro Porteno341671145:3355
Cerro Porteno341671145:33556
Sportivo Ameliano341215741:3451
Sportivo Ameliano341215741:34517Guarani351214941:3350
Guarani351214941:335082 de Mayo3512111234:4847
2 de Mayo3512111234:48479
Recoleta351061949:5836
Recoleta351061949:583610
Sportivo Luqueno35962038:5733
Sportivo Luqueno35962038:5733Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.