Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67book 1.50
No40%
ours 2.50book 2.44
All matches
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Deportes Limache — Palestino, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
Deportes Limache
1.6LWWLW
Palestino
2.3LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%22%34%
Deportes LimacheMarket 2.0944%DrawMarket 3.5522%PalestinoMarket 2.9534%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportes Limache2.292.09-4.3
XDraw4.513.55-6.0
2Palestino2.922.95+0.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportes LimachePalestinoCombined
Goals scored1.501.833.33
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners7.89.88.8
Cards3.01.84.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportes LimachePalestino
Club Deportes Limache 44%, CD Palestino 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
Club Deportes Limache 44%Draw 22%CD Palestino 34%
1st half
40 · 37 · 23
2nd half
31 · 35 · 34
Bookmakers: 2.09 · 3.55 · 2.95
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%1.27
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Deportes Limache
- awayUnion La Calera0:1
- homeCobresal3:0
- homeNublense2:0
- homeEverton Vina del Mar0:3
- awayHuachipato3:1
Palestino
- homeUniversidad Catolica2:3
- homeUniversidad de Concepcion2:1
- awayCobresal0:2
- awayO'Higgins1:0
- homeHuachipato5:1
Head to head
- 04/12/26Primera División0:1
- 11/03/25Primera División1:2
- 05/18/25Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Universidad Catolica23133750:3342
Universidad Catolica23133750:33423
Universidad de Chile23126535:1942
Universidad de Chile23126535:19424Palestino23113936:3336
Palestino23113936:33365Deportes Limache231031043:3533
Deportes Limache231031043:35336
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:2633
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:26337
Nublense2388728:3132
Nublense2388728:3132Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.