All matches

Club Brugge — Sint-Truiden, Pro League

Belgium, Pro League

Club Brugge
3.7WWLWL
—
Sint-Truiden
2.2LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
68%20%11%
Club Brugge68%Draw20%Sint-Truiden11%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Club Brugge68%1.46—
XDraw20%4.97—
2Sint-Truiden11%8.76—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65

No39%

ours 2.54

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClub BruggeSint-TruidenCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners10.710.310.5
Cards2.30.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Club BruggeSint-Truiden

Club Brugge KV 68%, Sint-Truidense VV 11%. The safest is “Club Brugge KV or draw” at 85%.

Club Brugge KV 68%Draw 20%Sint-Truidense VV 11%
1st half
51 · 33 · 17
2nd half
43 · 35 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Club Brugge

  • homeGenk3:0
  • homeAntwerp3:1
  • homeAston Villa2:3
  • awayLommel United1:0
  • awayGent1:2

Sint-Truiden

  • homeWesterlo0:2
  • awayWaasland-Beveren0:2
  • homeLa Louviere4:0
  • homeUnion Saint-Gilloise0:3
  • awayAntwerp4:1

Head to head

  • 05/09/26Pro League2:0
  • 04/11/26Pro League2:1
  • 12/06/25Pro League2:3
  • 09/21/25Pro League2:0
  • 02/15/25Pro League2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Union Saint-Gilloise761021:319
2Gent761013:419
3Club Brugge760115:318
4Charleroi760115:718
5Anderlecht74127:513
6Zulte-Waregem732210:711
7Standard Liege732213:1211
8Westerlo731315:1610
9Genk723213:129
10Waasland-Beveren73047:119
11Sint-Truiden722312:128
12Lommel United72236:88
13Antwerp721411:157

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.