All matches

Bolivar — Blooming, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Bolivar
3.8WWWWW
—
Blooming
2.1DWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
76%17%
BolivarMarket 1.0976%DrawMarket 7.9017%BloomingMarket 13.707%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bolivar76%92%1.311.09-15.7
XDraw17%13%5.997.90+4.0
2Blooming7%7%14.1013.70-0.2

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75book 1.74

No43%

ours 2.33book 1.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBolivarBloomingCombined
Goals scored3.672.175.84
Conceded1.171.002.17
Corners8.011.59.8
Cards0.82.23.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BolivarBlooming

Club Bolívar 76%, Club Blooming 7%. The safest is “Club Bolívar or draw” at 91%.

Club Bolívar 76%Draw 17%Club Blooming 7%
1st half
50 · 34 · 16
2nd half
52 · 32 · 16

Bookmakers: 1.09 · 7.90 · 13.70

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

72%1.19
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Bolivar

  • homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose4:2
  • awayReal Tomayapo2:1
  • awayIndependiente Petrolero4:0
  • homeAcademia del Balompie4:1
  • awayReal Oruro4:2

Blooming

  • homeUniversitario de Vinto1:1
  • homeAcademia del Balompie6:1
  • awayNacional Potosi1:2
  • homeReal Oruro1:1
  • awayGuabira1:1

Head to head

  • 05/10/26LFPB0:0
  • 10/18/25LFPB2:1
  • 04/27/25LFPB5:1
  • 10/27/24LFPB0:0
  • 07/14/24LFPB5:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Always Ready20136147:1345
2Bolivar20143354:2245
3The Strongest20126239:2242
4Real Potosi2088427:1432
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730
6Aurora2079431:2730
7Guabira2085732:3929
8Blooming2069530:2227
9Nacional Potosi2083930:2827
10Independiente Petrolero2074927:3525

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.