Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.34
All matches
Aurora — Real Tomayapo, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Aurora
1.9LDLWW
Real Tomayapo
1.4WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
66%20%14%
Aurora66%Draw20%Real Tomayapo14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aurora1.52—
XDraw4.90—
2Real Tomayapo7.30—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AuroraReal Tomayapo
Club Aurora 66%, CD Real Tomayapo 14%. The safest is “Club Aurora or draw” at 87%.
Club Aurora 66%Draw 20%CD Real Tomayapo 14%
1st half
51 · 36 · 13
2nd half
45 · 34 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAuroraReal TomayapoCombined
Goals scored1.600.602.20
Conceded1.201.402.60
Corners10.68.29.4
Cards2.22.64.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Aurora- 10 draws in 22 matches — most in the league6th place, 31 points
- 2.0 goals per game at home6 matches
Real Tomayapo- Fewest shots on target in the league — 3.9 per match16 teams in the league
- Relegation zone: 15th of 16
- One win in the last 5 matches1:0, 0:0, 0:2, 1:2, 1:3
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Aurora
- awayReal Oruro0:1
- homeNacional Potosi2:2
- awayGuabira1:3
- awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
- homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
Real Tomayapo
- homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose1:0
- awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo0:0
- homeOriente Petrolero0:2
- homeBolivar1:2
- awayThe Strongest1:3
Head to head
- 05/16/26LFPB2:0
- 09/19/25LFPB1:2
- 05/04/25LFPB0:0
- 12/13/24LFPB1:2
- 08/26/24LFPB0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Real Potosi22108429:1438
Real Potosi22108429:14385
Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
Oriente Petrolero22104838:28346Aurora22710533:3031
Aurora22710533:30317
Guabira2286834:4430
Guabira2286834:44308
Blooming22610630:2328
Blooming22610630:23289
Nacional Potosi22841032:3128
Nacional Potosi22841032:312810
Real Oruro22831136:5127
Real Oruro22831136:512711
Independiente Petrolero22751027:3726
Independiente Petrolero22751027:372612
Universitario de Vinto22631329:4321
Universitario de Vinto22631329:432113
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo22631322:4221
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo22631322:422114
Academia del Balompie22621431:4720
Academia del Balompie22621431:472015Real Tomayapo22551216:3920
Real Tomayapo22551216:392016
Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose22381125:3917
Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose22381125:3917Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.