All matches

Aurora — Nacional Potosi, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Aurora
2.1LWWDD
—
Nacional Potosi
2.0LWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%25%24%
AuroraMarket 1.6051%DrawMarket 3.8425%Nacional PotosiMarket 4.5424%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aurora51%63%1.961.60-11.6
XDraw25%26%4.053.84-1.3
2Nacional Potosi24%22%4.114.54+2.3

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.68book 1.60

No40%

ours 2.48book 2.18

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAuroraNacional PotosiCombined
Goals scored1.331.673.00
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners7.711.09.3
Cards2.71.54.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AuroraNacional Potosi

Club Aurora 51%, CA Nacional Potosí 24%. The safest is “Club Aurora or draw” at 76%.

Club Aurora 51%Draw 25%CA Nacional Potosí 24%
1st half
42 · 37 · 21
2nd half
35 · 37 · 28

Bookmakers: 1.60 · 3.84 · 4.54

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Aurora

  • awayGuabira1:3
  • awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
  • homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
  • awayAlways Ready2:2
  • homeReal Potosi0:0

Nacional Potosi

  • homeAlways Ready0:4
  • awayGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
  • homeBlooming2:1
  • awayUniversitario de Vinto0:2
  • homeIndependiente Petrolero3:0

Head to head

  • 07/10/26LFPB0:2
  • 09/27/25LFPB1:2
  • 05/16/25LFPB1:3
  • 12/17/24LFPB1:1
  • 09/14/24LFPB3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Real Potosi2088427:1432
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730
6Aurora2079431:2730
7Guabira2085732:3929
8Blooming2069530:2227
9Nacional Potosi2083930:2827
10Independiente Petrolero2074927:3525
11Real Oruro20631132:5021

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.