Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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Atletico Madrid — Deportivo La Coruna, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Atletico Madrid
3.2WWWLL
Deportivo La Coruna
2.5DLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
63%22%14%
Atletico Madrid63%Draw22%Deportivo La Coruna14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Atletico Madrid1.58—
XDraw4.50—
2Deportivo La Coruna6.95—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAtletico MadridDeportivo La CorunaCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded0.170.831.00
Corners6.010.58.3
Cards1.51.32.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Atletico MadridDeportivo La Coruna
Club Atlético de Madrid 63%, Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña 14%. The safest is “Club Atlético de Madrid or draw” at 84%.
Club Atlético de Madrid 63%Draw 22%Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña 14%
1st half
47 · 36 · 16
2nd half
42 · 36 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Atletico Madrid
- homeReal Madrid2:1
- homeOsasuna4:0
- awayReal Sociedad3:0
- awayLiverpool1:2
- awayAthletic Bilbao0:3
Deportivo La Coruna
- homeReal Betis1:1
- homeSevilla0:1
- awayGetafe1:1
- awayVillarreal3:2
- homeValencia3:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Barcelona770031:721
Barcelona770031:7212Atletico Madrid751116:716
Atletico Madrid751116:7163
Real Betis75119:716
Real Betis75119:7164
Real Madrid750218:815
Real Madrid750218:8155
Sevilla741210:913
Sevilla741210:9136
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108
Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:128Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.