Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.71
No42%
ours 2.40
All matches
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Atlante — Atletico San Luis, Liga MX
Mexico, Liga MX
Atlante
1.8WDLDD
Atletico San Luis
1.3WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%25%23%
Atlante52%Draw25%Atletico San Luis23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Atlante1.91—
XDraw4.06—
2Atletico San Luis4.34—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAtlanteAtletico San LuisCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners11.79.310.5
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AtlanteAtletico San Luis
Club Atlante 52%, Atlético San Luis 23%. The safest is “Club Atlante or draw” at 77%.
Club Atlante 52%Draw 25%Atlético San Luis 23%
1st half
38 · 42 · 21
2nd half
39 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Atlante
- homeMonterrey4:2
- awayPuebla1:1
- homePachuca0:3
- awayAtlas1:1
- homeLeon1:1
Atletico San Luis
- awayPumas UNAM3:2
- homeNecaxa3:1
- awayLeon0:2
- homeGuadalajara0:3
- awayMonterrey3:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Pachuca1033415:1112
Pachuca1033415:111212
Pumas UNAM1033414:1612
Pumas UNAM1033414:161213Atletico San Luis1033414:1812
Atletico San Luis1033414:181214Atlante1025312:1511
Atlante1025312:151115
Tigres UANL1024410:1310
Tigres UANL1024410:131016
Santos Laguna1031610:1510
Santos Laguna1031610:1510Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.