Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Alianza Atletico Sullana — Universitario de Deportes, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Alianza Atletico Sullana
2.3WLWWW
Universitario de Deportes
3.6LWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%26%32%
Alianza Atletico Sullana41%Draw26%Universitario de Deportes32%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alianza Atletico Sullana2.41—
XDraw3.79—
2Universitario de Deportes3.11—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAlianza Atletico SullanaUniversitario de DeportesCombined
Goals scored2.171.834.00
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners9.69.09.3
Cards2.42.85.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Alianza Atletico SullanaUniversitario de Deportes
Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 41%, Club Universitario de Deportes 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 41%Draw 26%Club Universitario de Deportes 32%
1st half
36 · 41 · 24
2nd half
32 · 40 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 9.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Alianza Atletico Sullana
- homeComerciantes Unidos2:1
- awayAtletico Grau1:3
- homeUT Cajamarca3:2
- awayUCV Moquegua4:1
- homeSporting Cristal3:1
Universitario de Deportes
- awayGarcilaso0:4
- awayAlianza Lima2:1
- homeComerciantes Unidos2:2
- awayUT Cajamarca4:2
- homeLos Chankas3:0
Head to head
- 04/26/26Primera División2:1
- 10/01/25Primera División0:2
- 05/11/25Primera División1:0
- 09/15/24Primera División0:3
- 04/06/24Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Alianza Lima27168344:1856
Alianza Lima27168344:18562Universitario de Deportes27147643:3149
Universitario de Deportes27147643:31493
Garcilaso27146739:2448
Garcilaso27146739:24484
Melgar27137745:2946
Melgar27137745:29465
Real Garcilaso271431040:3845
Real Garcilaso271431040:38456
Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:2638Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.