All matches

Cliftonville — Portadown, NIFL Premiership

Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership

Cliftonville
1.9LLLLW
—
Portadown
1.2DLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%21%21%
Cliftonville58%Draw21%Portadown21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cliftonville58%1.72—
XDraw21%4.73—
2Portadown21%4.86—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCliftonvillePortadownCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded1.171.672.84
Corners11.08.09.5
Cards0.82.02.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CliftonvillePortadown

Cliftonville FC 58%, Portadown FC 21%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Cliftonville FC 58%Draw 21%Portadown FC 21%
1st half
43 · 37 · 20
2nd half
37 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Cliftonville

  • homeBallymena United0:1
  • awayLimavady United0:1
  • homeGlentoran1:2
  • awayLarne0:2
  • awayCarrick Rangers3:1

Portadown

  • homeLimavady United2:2
  • awayBallymena United0:2
  • awayBangor1:3
  • homeLinfield1:1
  • homeLarne0:2

Head to head

  • 09/05/26NIFL Premiership3:1
  • 03/04/26NIFL Premiership2:0
  • 11/29/25NIFL Premiership3:2
  • 09/27/25NIFL Premiership1:2
  • 04/19/25NIFL Premiership0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
8Ballymena United933313:1112
9Cliftonville1040612:1212
10Limavady United93159:1310
11Bangor1012710:225
12Portadown100287:212

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.