All matches

Chungbuk Cheongju — Seongnam, K League 2

South Korea, K League 2

Chungbuk Cheongju
WWLLD
—
Seongnam
DLWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
36%30%35%
Chungbuk CheongjuMarket 2.5336%DrawMarket 3.1430%SeongnamMarket 2.4735%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Chungbuk Cheongju36%40%2.782.53-3.6
XDraw30%32%3.393.14-2.3
2Seongnam35%40%2.892.47-5.9

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes47%

ours 2.12book 1.74

No53%

ours 1.90book 1.96

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricChungbuk CheongjuSeongnamCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded1.331.332.66
Corners8.011.39.7
Cards1.21.02.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Chungbuk CheongjuSeongnam

Cheongju FC 36%, Seongnam FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 70%.

Cheongju FC 36%Draw 30%Seongnam FC 35%
1st half
24 · 48 · 28
2nd half
31 · 44 · 25

Bookmakers: 2.53 · 3.14 · 2.47

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

68%1.28
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Chungbuk Cheongju

  • awayAnsan Greeners3:2
  • awayChungnam Asan1:0
  • homeSeoul E-Land0:2
  • awayHwaseong1:2
  • homeGyeongnam1:1

Seongnam

  • homeHwaseong2:2
  • awayGyeongnam0:1
  • awayGimpo FC2:1
  • homeSeoul E-Land1:1
  • awayAnsan Greeners2:1

Head to head

  • 03/08/26K League 22:2
  • 09/14/25K League 20:1
  • 06/14/25K League 20:1
  • 03/03/25K League 21:1
  • 09/29/24K League 21:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Chungnam Asan2597934:3134
9Gyeongnam25810731:3034
10Seongnam25710828:3031
11Paju Frontier25851224:2829
12Chungbuk Cheongju26514731:4129
13Yongin FC25512831:3527
14Cheonan City264111130:3723

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.