All matches

Cheonan City — Ansan Greeners, K League 2

South Korea, K League 2

Cheonan City
LDDLL
—
Ansan Greeners
LLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%26%24%
Cheonan City50%Draw26%Ansan Greeners24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cheonan City50%1.98—
XDraw26%3.92—
2Ansan Greeners24%4.16—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos: result and total

Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.

Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.

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Combos: result and corners

The result comes from the goals model, corners from the corners model. The link between them is measured on 66,000 played matches: the winning side usually takes fewer corners, because the team chasing the game does the crossing. The market has no odds for these combinations — this is our estimate only.

Corner combos come with a subscription: probability and fair odds for all 48 combinations.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCheonan CityAnsan GreenersCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners6.87.06.9
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Cheonan CityAnsan Greeners

Cheonan City Government FC 50%, Ansan Greeners FC 24%. The safest is “Cheonan City Government FC or draw” at 76%.

Cheonan City Government FC 50%Draw 26%Ansan Greeners FC 24%
1st half
33 · 44 · 22
2nd half
42 · 39 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Cheonan City

  • awayChungnam Asan1:3
  • awaySuwon FC1:1
  • homeHwaseong1:1
  • awayJeonnam Dragons0:1
  • homeSuwon Samsung Bluewings0:1

Ansan Greeners

  • homeChungbuk Cheongju2:3
  • homeHwaseong0:2
  • awayBusan IPark1:0
  • homeDaegu FC1:2
  • homeSeongnam1:2

Head to head

  • 05/31/26K League 23:1
  • 10/25/25K League 20:0
  • 06/28/25K League 20:0
  • 04/13/25K League 20:1
  • 08/26/24K League 22:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Chungbuk Cheongju26514731:4129
13Yongin FC25512831:3527
14Cheonan City264111130:3723
15Ansan Greeners26641627:4922
16Jeonnam Dragons25491228:4321
17Gimhae FC25271619:4913

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.