Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
Chattanooga — Connecticut United, MLS Next Pro
USA, MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga
2.5WWWWW
Connecticut United
2.1WWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%22%29%
Chattanooga49%Draw22%Connecticut United29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Chattanooga2.04—
XDraw4.48—
2Connecticut United3.48—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2721 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2715 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2706 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ChattanoogaConnecticut United
Chattanooga FC 49%, Connecticut United 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Chattanooga FC 49%Draw 22%Connecticut United 29%
1st half
33 · 40 · 26
2nd half
42 · 31 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricChattanoogaConnecticut UnitedCombined
Goals scored3.002.205.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Chattanooga- Unbeaten at home in 8 matches3:1, 4:1, 5:2, 1:0, 4:0
- 15 goals in the last 5 matches3:1, 1:0, 4:1, 2:1, 5:2
- 5 wins in a row3:1, 1:0, 4:1, 2:1, 5:2
Connecticut United- 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 7:2, 0:1, 1:4, 2:4
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Chattanooga
- homeNew York City II3:1
- awayChicago Fire II1:0
- homeAtlanta United II4:1
- awayHuntsville City2:1
- homeCarolina Core5:2
Connecticut United
- awayAtlanta United II1:0
- homeInter Miami II7:2
- awayNew York City II0:1
- awayAtlanta United II1:4
- homeNew York Red Bulls II2:4
Head to head
- 03/08/26MLS Next Pro4:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Austin II29206356:2266
Austin II29206356:22662
Crown Legacy29168569:4056
Crown Legacy29168569:40563
Chattanooga29167659:4055
Chattanooga29167659:40554
Portland Timbers II291510439:2955
Portland Timbers II291510439:29555
Ventura County29157761:3852
Ventura County29157761:38526
Houston Dynamo II29147855:3549
Houston Dynamo II29147855:35497
Atlanta United II291451062:4747
Atlanta United II291451062:47478
New York Red Bulls II301451162:5147
New York Red Bulls II301451162:51479
Connecticut United291521260:5247
Connecticut United291521260:524710
Columbus Crew II29137951:4446
Columbus Crew II29137951:444611
New York City II291351151:4744
New York City II291351151:4744Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.