Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.29
All matches
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Charlton Athletic — Bolton Wanderers, Championship
England, Championship
Charlton Athletic
1.5LDDLD
Bolton Wanderers
1.8WWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%26%36%
Charlton Athletic37%Draw26%Bolton Wanderers36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Charlton Athletic2.69—
XDraw3.79—
2Bolton Wanderers2.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCharlton AthleticBolton WanderersCombined
Goals scored0.170.670.84
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners7.06.06.5
Cards3.00.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers
Charlton Athletic FC 37%, Bolton Wanderers FC 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Charlton Athletic FC 37%Draw 26%Bolton Wanderers FC 36%
1st half
27 · 38 · 35
2nd half
32 · 40 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Charlton Athletic
- awayCardiff City1:3
- homePortsmouth0:0
- homeQPR0:0
- awayStoke City0:4
- awayWest Bromwich1:1
Bolton Wanderers
- awayNorwich City4:3
- homeCardiff City1:0
- homeWest Ham2:3
- awayMillwall0:4
- awaySheffield United2:3
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Stoke City841313:1213
Stoke City841313:12139
Bristol City841311:1213
Bristol City841311:121310Charlton Athletic83327:1012
Charlton Athletic83327:101211
Birmingham City825112:1111
Birmingham City825112:111112
Millwall832315:1511
Millwall832315:151113
Lincoln City83237:811
Lincoln City83237:81114
Wrexham82429:1210
Wrexham82429:121015Bolton Wanderers831411:1510
Bolton Wanderers831411:151016
Blackburn Rovers823312:129
Blackburn Rovers823312:12917
Norwich City830516:179
Norwich City830516:179Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.