Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
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Cerezo Osaka — Yokohama F. Marinos, J1 League
Japan, J1 League
Cerezo Osaka
DLDWL
Yokohama F. Marinos
WDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%26%37%
Cerezo Osaka37%Draw26%Yokohama F. Marinos37%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cerezo Osaka2.72—
XDraw3.88—
2Yokohama F. Marinos2.67—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCerezo OsakaYokohama F. MarinosCombined
Goals scored0.831.502.33
Conceded1.330.832.16
Corners13.27.710.4
Cards1.72.23.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
Cerezo Osaka 37%, Yokohama F. Marinos 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Cerezo Osaka 37%Draw 26%Yokohama F. Marinos 37%
1st half
24 · 44 · 32
2nd half
38 · 36 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Cerezo Osaka
- awayV-Varen Nagasaki1:1
- awaySanfrecce Hiroshima1:6
- homeTokyo Verdy0:0
- homeKashiwa Reysol2:0
- awayVissel Kobe0:1
Yokohama F. Marinos
- homeMito Hollyhock2:0
- awayFC Machida Zelvia1:1
- awayKashiwa Reysol2:0
- homeKyoto Sanga FC1:1
- awayUrawa Red Diamonds2:3
Head to head
- 11/30/25J1 League1:3
- 05/11/25J1 League1:0
- 08/24/24J1 League0:4
- 04/27/24J1 League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
FC Machida Zelvia852121:1017
FC Machida Zelvia852121:10175
FC Tokyo852114:817
FC Tokyo852114:8176Yokohama F. Marinos842213:914
Yokohama F. Marinos842213:9147
Kawasaki Frontale834116:1213
Kawasaki Frontale834116:12138
Kashima Antlers841317:1613
Kashima Antlers841317:16139
Fagiano Okayama841311:1013
Fagiano Okayama841311:101310
Urawa Red Diamonds840416:1812
Urawa Red Diamonds840416:181211Cerezo Osaka83237:1211
Cerezo Osaka83237:121112
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:810
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:81013
Mito Hollyhock823311:119
Mito Hollyhock823311:119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.