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Celtic vs Ferencvaros: result 1:3

Europe, UEFA Europa LeagueMatch finished

Final score 1:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Celtic 43%, Ferencvaros 31%, draw 27%.

3.6LDWLW
1:3HT 1:2
3.8WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
43%27%31%
Celtic43%Draw27%Ferencvaros31%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.78xG1.69
63Possession, %37
16Shots14
4Shots on target6
11Corners3
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
18Fouls14
1Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 56 of 87void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Celtic43%

    Actual: Ferencvaros — we had 31%

  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.551%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes56%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Celtic43%2.35—
XDraw27%3.75—
2Ferencvaros31%3.25—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Celtic

  • awayFalkirk0:2
  • homeDundee United2:2
  • awayHibernian2:1
  • homeCelta Vigo1:2
  • homeHearts7:1

Ferencvaros

  • homePaks2:0
  • homeMTK Budapest5:0
  • homeTorreense4:1
  • awayKisvarda1:1
  • homeViktoria Plzen2:1

Head to head

  • 09/17/26UEFA Europa League1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Ferencvaros1192025:829
2Benfica971129:822
3Besiktas971117:622
4Anderlecht961218:719
5Salzburg742111:914
6Jagiellonia741213:913
7Omonia741211:813
8Lech Poznan732216:1111
9CSKA Sofia83239:1111
11Bournemouth33008:19
13OFI53028:49
14Olympiakos33004:19
15Qarabag42206:08
17Juventus32109:37
18Sunderland32104:27
19AZ Alkmaar32016:26
20PAOK42027:66
21Hradec Kralove42024:36
22Lyon32015:66
23Hajduk Split42025:66
24Rennes31204:35
26Lillestrom51224:105
27Real Sociedad31118:34
28Crystal Palace31118:54
29Sparta Prague31115:34
30Egnatia41127:64
31Paphos41127:64
32Levski Sofia31113:34
33Dinamo Zagreb31113:44
34Sturm Graz31111:34
35NEC Nijmegen31115:84
36Iberia 199941123:74
37Thun41127:124
38Sheriff41121:64
39Ararat-Armenia51134:124
40Hoffenheim31025:53
42AC Milan31024:53
43Celta Vigo31023:43
44Sint-Truiden21013:43
45Zilina21012:33
46Shamrock Rovers21014:63
48Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
49Torreense31024:73
50Viktoria Plzen51047:113
51St. Gallen21012:63
52U Cluj20200:02
53Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
54Twente20113:41
55Rangers20112:31
56KuPS20112:31
57Gornik Zabrze20111:21
58Larne20111:21
60Aluminij20110:11
61Hammarby20112:41
62Celje30122:71
63Hearts20112:71
65Derry City20023:50
66Tromso20021:40
67Midtjylland20020:30
68AGF Aarhus20022:60
69Vojvodina20021:50
70Mjallby20020:40
71Marseille30031:60
72Trabzonspor20020:50
73Celtic30033:90
74Vestri20020:60
75KI Klaksvik20020:60

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.