All matches

Real Oruro — Aurora, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Real Oruro
1.4LLWDL
—
Aurora
2.1LWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%24%36%
Real Oruro40%Draw24%Aurora36%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Oruro40%2.53—
XDraw24%4.12—
2Aurora36%2.76—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes66%

ours 1.52

No34%

ours 2.91

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal OruroAuroraCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded2.000.832.83
Corners12.27.09.6
Cards2.42.24.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real OruroAurora

CDT Real Oruro 39%, Club Aurora 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

CDT Real Oruro 39%Draw 24%Club Aurora 36%
1st half
32 · 35 · 33
2nd half
35 · 35 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Real Oruro

  • homeReal Potosi0:2
  • awayThe Strongest0:5
  • homeCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
  • awayBlooming1:1
  • homeBolivar2:4

Aurora

  • awayGuabira1:3
  • awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
  • homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
  • awayAlways Ready2:2
  • homeReal Potosi0:0

Head to head

  • 05/13/26LFPB1:1
  • 09/17/25LFPB5:3
  • 04/25/25LFPB2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Real Potosi2088427:1432
5Oriente Petrolero2093836:2730
6Aurora2079431:2730
7Guabira2085732:3929
8Blooming2069530:2227
9Nacional Potosi2083930:2827
10Independiente Petrolero2074927:3525
11Real Oruro20631132:5021
12Academia del Balompie20621231:4520
13Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo20621221:4020

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.