Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.86book 1.78
No46%
ours 2.16book 1.93
All matches
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Tenerife — Girona, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Tenerife
1.4LDLWD
Girona
1.4DWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
38%26%36%
TenerifeMarket 2.9238%DrawMarket 3.2926%GironaMarket 2.5336%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tenerife2.672.92+3.2
XDraw3.823.29-4.1
2Girona2.762.53-3.3
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTenerifeGironaCombined
Goals scored1.002.003.00
Conceded1.830.832.66
Corners6.28.37.3
Cards2.72.04.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
TenerifeGirona
CD Tenerife 38%, Girona FC 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
CD Tenerife 38%Draw 26%Girona FC 36%
1st half
32 · 41 · 27
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Bookmakers: 2.92 · 3.29 · 2.53
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
69%1.30
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Tenerife
- awayCordoba2:3
- homeCadiz1:1
- awayCastellon0:5
- homeLeganes2:0
- awayReal Sociedad II1:1
Girona
- homeMallorca0:0
- homeAlbacete2:0
- awayCadiz2:1
- homeCastellon1:2
- awaySporting Gijon2:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Castellon862015:320
Castellon862015:3203
Almeria860213:518
Almeria860213:5184Girona842214:814
Girona842214:8145
Mallorca84228:314
Mallorca84228:3146
Burgos842212:914
Burgos842212:9147
Sabadell83418:613
Sabadell83418:6138
Sporting Gijon84138:813
Sporting Gijon84138:8139
Granada832313:1311
Granada832313:131110
Real Oviedo83238:811
Real Oviedo83238:81111
Las Palmas832312:1311
Las Palmas832312:131112Tenerife832310:1211
Tenerife832310:121113
Leganes83236:1111
Leganes83236:111114
Real Valladolid82338:119
Real Valladolid82338:119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.