Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93book 1.93
No48%
ours 2.08book 1.78
All matches
Junior — Deportivo Pereira, Primera A
Colombia, Primera A
Junior
2.3DLLWW
Deportivo Pereira
1.1DLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
69%20%11%
JuniorMarket 1.2969%DrawMarket 5.1020%Deportivo PereiraMarket 9.2511%
Line-upsLine-ups not announced yet — they usually appear an hour before kick-off.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Junior1.451.29-8.5
XDraw4.995.10+0.4
2Deportivo Pereira9.159.25+0.1
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 1747 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 1745 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 1736 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
CD Popular Junior FC SA 69%, CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 11%. The safest is “CD Popular Junior FC SA or draw” at 88%.
CD Popular Junior FC SA 69%Draw 20%CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 11%
1st half
40 · 44 · 15
2nd half
59 · 31 · 9
Bookmakers: 1.29 · 5.10 · 9.25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
67%1.48
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJuniorDeportivo PereiraCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded1.671.833.50
Corners9.58.08.8
Cards2.53.56.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Junior
- homeInter Bogotá2:2
- awayBucaramanga1:3
- awayAtletico Nacional1:3
- homeIndependiente Medellin2:0
- awayFortaleza CEIF4:1
Deportivo Pereira
- homeDeportivo Cali0:0
- awayCucuta Deportivo0:4
- homeIndependiente Santa Fe1:2
- homeInter Bogotá0:0
- awayRionegro Aguilas2:2
Head to head
- 02/03/26Primera A3:2
- 10/18/25Primera A3:2
- 04/27/25Primera A0:1
- 10/20/24Primera A3:1
- 05/23/24Primera A0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:3657
Independiente Santa Fe351415654:36574
Deportes Tolima3715121048:3757
Deportes Tolima3715121048:37575Junior371591356:5054
Junior371591356:50546
Deportivo Cali321410840:2552
Deportivo Cali321410840:25527
Once Caldas341214849:4150
Once Caldas341214849:41508
Independiente Medellin321471147:4149
Independiente Medellin321471147:41499
Millonarios331212950:3548
Millonarios331212950:354810
Bucaramanga311114647:3147
Bucaramanga311114647:314711
Pasto331271438:4643
Pasto331271438:464312
Rionegro Aguilas3210121037:4342
Rionegro Aguilas3210121037:434213
Inter Bogotá359151144:5542
Inter Bogotá359151144:554214
Llaneros328121232:3736
Llaneros328121232:373615
Cucuta Deportivo328101438:5434
Cucuta Deportivo328101438:543416
Fortaleza CEIF326151136:4633
Fortaleza CEIF326151136:463317
Alianza Valledupar326111527:5329
Alianza Valledupar326111527:532918
Boyaca Chico31851825:5129
Boyaca Chico31851825:512919
Jaguares de Cordoba31771734:5528
Jaguares de Cordoba31771734:552820Deportivo Pereira312131622:4919
Deportivo Pereira312131622:4919Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.