All matches

Plaza Amador — Arabe Unido, LPF

Panama, LPF

Plaza Amador
3.2WWDDW
—
Arabe Unido
2.1DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%29%19%
Plaza Amador53%Draw29%Arabe Unido19%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Plaza Amador53%1.89—
XDraw29%3.51—
2Arabe Unido19%5.37—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 2.02

No50%

ours 1.98

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPlaza AmadorArabe UnidoCombined
Goals scored2.002.004.00
Conceded1.670.832.50
Corners6.57.36.9
Cards1.22.53.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Plaza AmadorArabe Unido

CD Plaza Amador 53%, CD Árabe Unido 19%. The safest is “CD Plaza Amador or draw” at 79%.

CD Plaza Amador 53%Draw 29%CD Árabe Unido 19%
1st half
36 · 43 · 22
2nd half
37 · 42 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Plaza Amador

  • homeUniversitario2:1
  • awayUnion Cocle2:1
  • homeVeraguas1:1
  • awayIndependiente de La Chorrera2:2
  • homeHerrera4:1

Arabe Unido

  • awayIndependiente de La Chorrera1:1
  • homeHerrera2:1
  • awaySan Francisco2:1
  • homeUnion Cocle4:1
  • homeVeraguas3:1

Head to head

  • 07/25/26LPF2:2
  • 05/03/26LPF3:0
  • 02/13/26LPF1:0
  • 10/12/25LPF0:2
  • 07/20/25LPF4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Plaza Amador1173126:1624
2Arabe Unido1164116:822
3San Francisco1162322:1420
4Veraguas1146117:1518

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.